Hedera’s native token, HBAR, is likely to reach and potentially exceed the $0.10 mark in early 2026, provided it sustains its current momentum above the 200-day moving average. The recent 29% price jump has effectively cleared a long-term technical barrier, shifting the market sentiment from neutral to bullish. However, the $0.10 level remains a formidable psychological resistance zone where traders have historically taken profits, making it the most critical price point to watch in the immediate term.
The rally was supported by a substantial increase in trading volume, a key indicator that this move is backed by genuine market demand rather than speculative wash trading. By flipping the 200-day moving average from resistance to support, HBAR has provided a technical signal that often attracts institutional trend-followers. This price action suggests that the mid-term trend for Hedera is turning upward for the first time in several months, rewarding patient holders who weathered previous volatility.
From a market perspective, this surge comes as US-based investors show renewed interest in enterprise-grade distributed ledger technology (DLT). As Hedera continues to expand its Governing Council and real-world use cases in 2026, the decoupling of HBAR from broader altcoin stagnation reflects a growing preference for projects with established corporate utility. Regulatory clarity in the US regarding utility tokens has also provided a tailwind for assets like HBAR that focus on transparent governance.
Investors and traders should now monitor whether HBAR can consolidate its gains above the 200-day average during the next market cooling period. A successful retest of this average as support would confirm the breakout and provide the necessary base for a run toward $0.12 and beyond. Conversely, a failure to hold this level could see the token retreat into its previous trading range, delaying the anticipated $0.10 breakout until later in the year.